Predictions for 2005 : 10 + 2 = 1
By-
Jeff Turner
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I have read numerous articles on what may happen in
the Nextel Cup for the 2005 season. As a person that
tries to keep up with NASCAR, I wanted to share with
you some of my thoughts for this season.
Although my titles may have a humorous element behind
them, the hope is that you come away with some insight
as we head into a crucial year for NASCAR's elite
series.
Here we go.......( fingers crossed as I speak )
A Chip On My Shoulder: I am referring to Ganassi
Racing. Look for a lot of news out of this
camp---both on and off the track. Most would feel that
I am only talking about Jaime McMurray and his
impending future. Either way, whether with the 2 car
or remaining at the wheel of the 42 car, McMurray
should come out well financially and win multiple
races in the Nextel and Busch Series. In my opinion,
Casey Mears was the most improved driver of 2004. He
won poles, led races, and even flirted with making the
Chase last year--long shot as it was. If Mears makes
as much progress in 2005 as this past year ( which I
think he will ) then look for this driver to break
into the win column and finish somewhere between
15-20th in the standings. I also look for Sterling
Marlin to improve over a sub-par 2004, he is always a
threat at the plate tracks and I think Sterling has
something to prove in 2005.
Drive For Five: Although this phrase may be used by
Jeff Gordon and his team in 2005, I intend to use the
statement for the " experienced " drivers of the
Nextel Cup Series. With Mark Martin and Rusty Wallace
in their final seasons and veterans such as Dale
Jarrett and Ricky Rudd knowing their time is coming, I
feel strongly that the group of drivers over 45 years
old will win a combination of 5 races this season. I
know many will feel that I am predicting this more
with my heart than head but remember something.
Martin and Wallace probably should have won at least 2
races each and they will be more determined than ever
to close out the season on a high note. I am also
convinced that Jarrett will break into the win column
in 2005, he's still too good not to make it to Victory
Lane, especially with that Roush-Yates power under the
hood.
Safety First: Didn't Mom say it best? Seriously,
NASCAR has made major strides over the last 4 years in
this area and I commend them for it. From SAFER walls
to improved driver seats, stock car racing is more
safe than ever before. However, more can be done, and
with the Car of Tomorrow to be introduced in 2006,
NASCAR is headed in a positive direction. I feel this
season will be the start of more improvements on pit
road and the garage area. Look for reexamination of
pit road speeds on many tracks and the possible
redesign of entrances onto pit road. As we saw during
the ARCA race this past weekend, both media and race
officials must be prepared for most anything in the
pits. Although speed and cars will always produce an
element of danger, I feel we still have some progress
to be made within the tracks workspace. No one wants
to eliminate the ability for the fans to reach out to
the driver and teams, it just has to be put in a
proper perspective.
Foxy Lady: With no disrespect to Jimi Hendrix, the "
Lady in Black " Darlington Raceway's night race on May
7th will be a major success. From the start, I have
felt that prime time racing at NASCAR's oldest
superspeedway would be a hit among fans, similar to
what we see at venues like Bristol and Richmond. The
better news for Darlington is that I feel that NASCAR
will announce the move of the Darlington race back to
its proper place on Labor Day weekend in 2006.
Although I would like to say it is solely for
tradition, the reality is that ISC will want to see
the Los Angeles market as part of the final 10 races
for the Chase for the Championship, pushing their date
back into October or November. No matter what the
circumstances, let's see a Labor Day race back at
Darlington.
10 + 2 = 1: Believe it or not, I did not make a
numerical error or flunk Math in the 3rd grade. The
reality is that we will see more than 10 drivers make
the Chase for the Championship in 2005. I am going
out on the limb and say that 12 drivers will make the
final cut with the possibility that 2 or 3 more
drivers could've made the cutoff with a little luck.
Remember, it was a distinct possibility to have seen
15 drivers in last year's Chase and this year more
drivers and teams will be paying attention to that 400
point spread much earlier than before and race
accordingly. It will be more important this year to
see if this will come about, otherwise NASCAR may pull
the plug on a 400 point break from the leader after
the 26th race. Race hard guys and let's see what
happens.
I hope I did not bore you with some of my thoughts and
ideas for this season. Whether all or none of these
predictions come true, enjoy the Nextel Cup Series
this season.
Jeff Turner
McLeansboro, IL
earnhardt25@hotmail.com
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